Wave Analysis from InstaForex

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on March 11, 2022

GBP/USD was the only currency pair that did not make false movements yesterday following the meeting of the European Central Bank. It fell by 95 points, clearly defining the targets 1.2853-1.2900.

In the four-hour chart, the pair went under 1.3115 this morning, with the Marlin oscillator going into the bearish area.

Most likely, it would continue dipping today as the data on the UK trade balance for January will be released, and many expect it to show a decrease from 12.3 billion to 12.6 billion.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on March 15, 2022

The Australian dollar confirmed our yesterday's thesis about the prospect of a rapid decline as a recovery of balance with other world currencies after its previous four-month growth outstripping the market. The aussie's fall from yesterday was 100 points, the MACD line of the daily scale was reached. This morning, the price continued its decline with overcoming this support line. The Marlin Oscillator is in the downward trend zone. The 0.7065 target is open.

The price is completely in a downward position on the four-hour chart - it is falling below the indicator lines, the MACD line itself has turned to decline. The Marlin Oscillator may soon enter the oversold zone, but under the pressure of fundamental factors, it may end up there for several days.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading plan for EURUSD for March 16, 2022

Technical outlook:
EURUSD continues to consolidate between 1.0900 and 1.1000 levels within a triangle, waiting for a breakout. Today's event risk might trigger the necessary technical price action, which is favored above 1.1120 mark. Bulls remain poised to keep prices above 1.0800 to keep the structure intact going forward.

.EURUSD faces immediate price resistance around 1.1500 mark as seen on the daily chart. A break above that mark will confirm potential trend reveral and that bulls rew going to remain in control. On the flip side, a break below 1.0800 interim support will open the door t test 1.0750 handle before finding support again.

EURUSD had rallied earlier between 1.0536 and 1.2350 levels carving a meaningful upswing at a larger degree. The subsequent drop since then has been corrective and has dropped through fibonacci 0.618 retracement around 1.0800 mark. If the above structure holds well, bulls will remain in control pushing through 1.1500 levels near term.

Trading plan:
Potential rally through 1.1500 against 1.0700

Good luck!

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading plan for US dollar index for March 17, 2022

Technical outlook:
The US dollar index has dropped through 98.40 intraday today after carving a lower high around 99.30 levels early this week. The index has also carved another Evening Star bearish candlestick pattern on the daily chart as expected. Ideally, prices should continue to drag lower from here and a drop below 97.70 will accelerate further.

Furthermore, if the US dollar index bears are successful in holding prices below 99.45 mark, we might withess a steep fall towards 94.50 in the next few trading sessions. A break there will also confirm that bears are back in control and are here to stay for long. On the flip side, if a more complex corrective structure unfolds, prices might print above 99.30 before finding resistance.

The US dollar had earlier carved a meaningful larger degree downswing by dropping from 104.00 through 89.20 levels. The entire drop has now been retraced through its fibonacci 0.618 level seen around 99.45 mark. If the above structure holds well, bears will remain inclined to drag prices below 89.20 to complete the structure.

Trading plan:
Potential drop through 94.50 against 100.00
Good luck!

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on March 18, 2022

Yesterday, the Bank of England expectedly raised the rate by a quarter of a point from 0.50% to 0.75%. Despite the favorable circumstances for the pound's growth - the dollar index fell by 0.37% yesterday, the pound still did not grow, it traded in a wide range of 123 points. But at the same time, it can be noted that the upper shadow of the daily candle exactly fulfilled the target level of 1.3200, which can indirectly confirm the effectiveness of the levels 1.3265 and 1.3323 located above. The Marlin Oscillator is growing, but it is still in the negative area, which probably explains the not very confident price growth.

On the four-hour chart, the current price situation in the range of target levels can be depicted with a small triangle. This is a sign of further price movement in an upward direction. The Marlin Oscillator also consolidated in the form of a small triangle. We are waiting for the quote at the target level of 1.3265.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on March 21, 2022

The British pound is consolidating in the range of target levels 1.3110-1.3210. If we assume that the pound's growth since March 15 is a correction from a strong previous fall, then its potential is far from exhausted, it can continue to the MACD line, which currently corresponds to a 50% correction level. Slow price growth will allow the MACD line to drop to the 38.2% correction level, which is close to the target level of 1.3270. Therefore, with the release of the price above the nearest resistance at 1.3210, we can expect continued steady growth to 1.3270. Price drop below 1.3110 will bring it back to the downside.

On the H4 chart, the situation is ascending: the price is developing along the balance and MACD indicator lines, the Marlin Oscillator is falling, being led in the current situation, but has not yet left the territory of the rising trend. We are waiting for the continuation of consolidation in the indicated hundred-point range and follow the choice of the price of the further direction. The probability of growth is 55%.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on March 22, 2022

Last night, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke and said that if inflation rises, the rate at the May meeting could be increased by 0.50 points. Investors rated this as a belated recognition, but still began to buy dollars (the dollar index is 0.24%), dump government bonds (yield on 5-year securities increased from 2.14% to 2.32%) and leave the stock market (Dow Jones -0.58%, S&P 500 -0.04%). The market probability of a double rate hike at the next meeting has increased to 60 percent.

It is very likely that the euro changed its mind for the second time to storm the resistance of 1.1121 and reach the target of 1.1177, not to mention the closing of the double gap around the level of 1.1280. But we still need to be convinced of this intention.

The Marlin Oscillator is falling in the negative zone on the H4 chart, and in order to fully confirm the price's intention to decrease, the MACD line should be overcome, near the mark of 1.0944. In this case, the first bearish target at 1.0820 will open.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on March 23, 2022

The Australian dollar's growth from yesterday amounted to 68 points. The price overcame the target range of 0.7415/30, but the next target (0.7500) did not work out. The Marlin Oscillator is starting to turn down, and while its readings are not enough to resolve the issue with the 1.7500 level, will the price reach it or not. Returning to the area below 0.7415 opens the 0.7315 target.

The technical situation is even more confusing on the four-hour chart. Price divergence begins to form with the Marlin Oscillator; it can persist even if the bullish target level is worked out. But there may be a price reversal with consolidation under 0.7415 from the current levels. We are waiting for the development of events.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on March 24, 2022

Over the past two days, that is, for Wednesday and Tuesday, the euro has formed the support of 1.0962 with the lower pronounced shadows of daily candles. And since the daily trend remained downward, the signal line of the Marlin Oscillator did not dare to go into the positive area. Overcoming the freshly baked support will be a fresh impetus to continue the decline, towards the target of 1.0820.

The 1.0962 level coincides with the support of the MACD line on the four-hour chart. This circumstance further increases the value of this level, so we are now waiting for a confident price movement with overcoming this line.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for March 25, 2022

Technical Market Outlook
The GBP/USD pair has been having trouble to move higher after the local high was made at the level of 1.3295 and is currently testing the lower channel line around the level of 1.3194. Any sustained violation of the level of 1.3194 will indicate a possibility of a deeper correction, so please keep an eye on this level and on the whole demand zone located between the levels of 1.3121 - 1.3110. The nearest technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.3210 and 1.3240.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.3487
WR2 - 1.3345
WR1 - 1.3272
Weekly Pivot - 1.3138
WS1 - 1.3067
WS2 - 1.2918
WS3 - 1.2816

Trading Outlook:
If the market will break below the level of 1.3169, the up trend on the weekly time frame is terminated and the bears enforce and confirm their control over the market in the long term. The Cable is below 100 and 200 WMA already, so the bearish domination is clear. The next long term target for bears is seen at the level of 1.2751 and 1.2663. Please remember: trend is your friend.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on March 28, 2022

The British pound could not cope with the resistance of 1.3210 on Friday, and the Marlin daily scale oscillator returned below the zero line, showing the previous exit into the positive trend zone was false (arrow). Now the task for the pound is to consolidate under the support of 1.3119 (March 22 low) and start the hike to 1.2900.

On the H4 chart, the price went under the red balance indicator line with consolidation, and this shows the shift in the mood of speculators to short positions. The signal line of the Marlin Oscillator is developing in a downward trend - in the territory of negative values. The MACD line approached the level of 1.3119 - it strengthened it, made it more significant for the prospect of a downward movement in case the price surpasses it.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
The British pound fell 93 points yesterday, having successfully overcome the first target level of 1.3119. The Marlin Oscillator has settled in the downward trend area. The price has chosen a direction and a target at 1.2900. Slightly lower is the second target at 1.2853, which together can be defined as a target range of 1.2853-1.2900 (November 2020 low and December 2019 low).

The price consolidated under the level of 1.3119 and under the MACD line on the four-hour chart. The trend is downward, but at the moment there is a slight correction after yesterday's strong fall. Upon completion of the correction, we expect further decline.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on March 29, 2022

The British pound fell 93 points yesterday, having successfully overcome the first target level of 1.3119. The Marlin Oscillator has settled in the downward trend area. The price has chosen a direction and a target at 1.2900. Slightly lower is the second target at 1.2853, which together can be defined as a target range of 1.2853-1.2900 (November 2020 low and December 2019 low).

The price consolidated under the level of 1.3119 and under the MACD line on the four-hour chart. The trend is downward, but at the moment there is a slight correction after yesterday's strong fall. Upon completion of the correction, we expect further decline.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 
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